MMA Breakdowns and Bets
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🕑 Added 2025-03-19 04:18:04 +0000 UTCDustin Pague
Pague really good boxer and a big puncher. Biggest concern here is his skin seems paper thin. He gets cuts or hurt in most of his fights. Angelcor moving up 10lbs to take this opportunity, I think we see a massive size/power difference for the hometown guy here in Pague.
John Garbarino
Really really good boxer with incredible head movement against a guy who spazzes and uses all his energy within the first few minutes. Shouldn’t be competitive at all.
Travis Thompson
Aj Craig not a serious fighter. Weak puncher, bad footwork. Travis is a company man, friends with Feldman. Easy fight for him in his hometown.
Anthony Pagan
This shouldn’t be close at all. Pagan punches well, looks athletic and trains with real guys. Reeser is about as bad as can be, only 20 and fighting grandpas at rough and rowdy. Should be a quick one.
Vidal vs Conley
Great fight here. Vidal is very technical and very clean with his boxing and defense. The issue is he fights inside and will take shots because of it. Conley is a big big puncher and doesn’t get as tired as you would think. Depending on the number I like Conley here. He takes shots better, and much more power.
Connor McKenna
I assume the number is going to be ridiculous here. His last fight against Calmus, who is notoriously tough was a much better showing. Lex may be good, but November last year he lost a unanimous decision to a guy 7-18. He has a career pro record of 2-4 and has only beaten guys with 0 wins or a losing record. McKenna has BKFC experience and knows what it’s like to get hit and will fight hard with all he has. we have no idea what Lex cardio looks like and I assume he will be a decent favorite.
Dalvin Blair
Wanted to fade him due to street beefs, but he’s very good. He’s obviously done years of real boxing. Fast, dynamic, makes good reads. Walter’s is better than I thought, but has to win in the first round or he’s probably done. Big puncher, bad cardio. Blair all day here.
Burgos vs Norman
This is a close one. Burgos actually looked much better than I expected in his debut. His striking looked much more educated than I thought. Norman is the complete opposite. Good athlete that just launches hooks. I think we see Norman look much better just based on the style. Carrappa started grappling and clinching early which wore on Norman. Both guys here quit in their debuts. I would lean Burgos as he has an easier matchup in front of him, but eye test says Norman throws with more heat and is much more athletic. Close one. Let’s look at the number.
Elijah Harris
Should be a quick one. Harris has a bad record but he’s fighting competitive with good guys. He can take a punch and hits hard. Honsvick is bad bad bad.
Adam De Freitas
He may be old, but old man can crack. Unless Horne comes out and shows us something that’s not on tape I like De Freitas here. Horne has been knocked out badly in his last two. He fights very close with his hands down, which is a bad style for BKFC. He’s not overly elusive and his offense isn’t great. Outside of a cut I like the offense of De Freitas much more.
Pat Carroll
He had a tougher matchup. Now fighting the biggest can in Micheal Furnier. Outside of a death gas Carroll gets it done easy
Comments
Christopher Gilg
How do I find your discord can you post a link here?
AW MD
Can u pls add unit sizes or confidence levels for ur bets/picks?
rusty tennakoon
Thanks Brandan
Schofield
This why you guys are the 🐐s
Santino DeFranco
Yes I will post on the discord. Let me get all my tape done
Schofield
Any chance you could share more of your parlays and bets - trying to see some cross promotional parlays that we can tail so we can hit that million dollar parlay like Brandan
