Pecos Hank
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June 11 Chase Target
🕑 Added 2022-06-11 17:46:45 +0000 UTCHeads or Tails guys?
Tails is the higher percentage tornado play with potential for discrete southeast moving supercells among mixed modes. Noting I've never seen a significant tornado producing supercell moving southeast at over 20 knots. (Jarrel TX F5 was zippering southwest and I've yet to see anything else like that since.)
Tails would also require a 7 hour commute from the previous day and an 11 hour commute to tomorrows target.
Heads has a trace chance of a tornado near SE Montana, but highly unlikely a significant one. Heads also offers high chances of a neato Low Precipitation (LP) storm over beautiful country and much much much less driving as Sunday and Monday's target are in the same vicinity.
I'll be chasing heads with a sliver of regret in my stomach.
Good luck laid back chasers, and hard core commuting chasers.
Comments
BlueHusky2154
Wow, upgrade to 5% TOR in latest Day 1 outlook. Right in my stomping grounds. You better believe I'm gonna chase.
BlueHusky2154
Unfortunately I didn't have time to chase today. However I will be out there tomorrow! And to be honest I kinda like Sunday's setup a little better... Currently planning for Belle Fourche SD but this may change as more model runs and SPC updates come out.
Mike Castles
Looks like that storm is a really big hailer at this point. Hank might have saved a windshield by working Montana/SD.
BlueHusky2154
Lots of unexpected scenery up here in Montana! However, I feel my home state is cursed for tornadoes...
Petra Perez
Wow if I were able to venture beyond my own backyard I would have gone just west of Topeka. Nice to see that verifying
Brenda
Way too hot for me!!
Mike Castles
Just watching them from north TX, where it's 106
Brenda
Omaha, NE just went under Severe Thunderstorm Warning until 6:30 PM!!
Brenda
Are you anywhere near these storms?
Brenda
COPIED FROM NWS IN OMAHA, NE: A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN LANCASTER...CENTRAL SALINE AND NORTHWESTERN GAGE COUNTIES.. HAZARD...Tornado and two inch hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
Brenda
Yeah, I'm watching the one near Beatrice. The other one that's heading SE toward Omaha is also interesting. It is eerily calm where I'm at. Just waiting for the storm to pass Fremont and then it should start to ramp up in NW Omaha. . .
Baldevi
I am getting this late but still wish you great luck on some photogenic tornadoes that merely scare some bunnies and rearrange a lot of dust and leaves while you film and snap away. Or, any tornado that is worth seeing, studying, and snapping!
Mike Castles
Those storms south of Lincoln are just exploding right now, see 3 different tornado warning
Brenda
Large area in SW NE (including Omaha & Lincoln) just went under a Tornado Watch by NWS until 10PM tonight. Severe Thunderstorm Warning NW of Omaha in Colfax & Dodge County. Storm moving toward Omaha.
Brenda
Here’s hoping that you’ve got your mojo back, Hank. Enjoy Montana.
Tom
Good luck Hank
