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Common Mistakes
🕑 Added 2023-09-18 12:49:44 +0000 UTCRisk/Reward
Not knowing the risk/reward ratio is a common mistake, but a very easily avoidable one.
I usually see people doing something like “all in”, “go big or go home” or “big balls club” when it’s not smart or not worth the risk-to-reward ratio. You will see me referring to the risk/reward ratio almost every day and on almost every post. It's one of my key concepts to give you the best advice.
To give an example, if you can make 20k but you can lose 100k, it's not a smart move and not worth the risk. But if you can make 10k but only lose 1k, it’s a smart move. Nobody can 100% predict the right outcome but we can get close to it!
The most common risk/reward comparison is Discard Gold Rare investments. These usually provide a very low risk with a decent reward. With a bit of experience, you can apply this idea to all trades and understand when to take a risk and when to avoid a risk.
Hype
Joining a trading hype is a huge mistake. A simple Tweet or Instagram post can start a hype investment.
Avoiding this is tougher than most think, but if you see a post on any bigger social media account, it's probably already too late. Other indicators are high prices, flaws in the logic behind the buy, unrealistic buy prices or buy prices that were a lot cheaper a few hours ago. This is also very common with public leaks.
We always aim to get you ahead of the hype and then offer you the option to hold or sell in the hype.
FOMO (Fear of missing out)
FOMO is almost the same but it’s a bit different and important to explain, most traders don’t even know the real difference.
FOMO is more like that you saw something happen which results in profit and then forcing yourself to do the same again on the next possible opportunity. That’s the real FOMO in FUT, missing out on profit another time.
Avoiding this is a bit tougher, it can be very tempting and can be frustrating after seeing people doing it successfully and then seeing yourself fail on it. The best tip is to decide each trade on its own, looking for the risk/reward without thinking of the previous result too much.
This goes even further, there are FOMO patterns across multiple FUT years which lead to many people doing the same thing over and over again. The most common one is Gold Discard Investments for TOTS.
Old data/wrong data
Old data or wrong data are still very common and probably the toughest mistakes to spot.
The most common way is for traders to trust market graphs from last year. At the beginning of a new FUT year, it's unavoidable as this is the only data we have but it's important to know that every year and every market moves differently and we see different results.
That’s also how you can avoid it! As the year continues, we will slowly understand the market more and we can apply new methods and patterns to get a more realistic view of the current market. You can’t just copy stuff from last year and hope to make the same profits.
Holding cards too long
Something most traders don’t teach you or don’t even know themself, it's important to know when to just sell a card and move on. Even taking a loss is not a big deal as long as you move on and make more from other trades.
This is something that you have to learn once and keep sticking to throughout the year. There’s no magic spell to make a bad trade turn into a good trade. Sometimes you have to accept the loss.
There are two steps to understanding when to sell a losing card. First, if a card is likely going to continue the downtrend, then it’s smart to just sell and get out. Or if you have a better investment lined up then it's also the best idea to just sell and move on with the new investment.
Unrealistic Goals
Your goals should be clear and realistic. A realistic goal would be improving each month's profits or improving your trading skills each month even though you made the same amount of profit or less.
It's not possible to turn 10k into 10m in 2 weeks, however, it's possible to improve your trading skills to reach 50m by the end of the FUT year.
Don’t ever feel forced to reach these goals, these should be your motivation to keep going but not something you have to reach to be successful. Having fun and enjoying FUT is our goal.
Summary
- Analyse the risk/reward ratio
- Avoid Hype Investments/Trades
- Always decide on each trade on its own
- Use recent data
- Accept a loss if you find more profitable routes
- Set yourself realistic trading goals
