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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 24 AUG 2023 23:59* - 18 Months of Expanded War
🕑 Added 2023-08-25 10:46:35 +0000 UTCAre you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced.
This is Report 476, which is 59 pages and is a full report.
Announcement
The Russia-Ukraine War Report Podcast will restart by September 5, 2023. We are finalizing the details this week.
What's the big story? The Ukrainian offensive south of Orikhiv is accelerating, with the 82nd Brigade advancing up to 3 kilometers in the last 72 hours.
What's the second story? Even in death, it is still the Yevgeny Prigozhin show.
Bonus story? The cracks in the Russian economy are widening.
Summary
- Positional fighting continued in Kharkiv and Luhansk
- Ukrainian forces executed a masterful offensive operation at Zaliznyanske
- Ukrainian forces continue to make marginal gains in Klishchiivka
- Fighting is reportedly in Andriivka, where Ukrainian forces continue a slow advance to the railroad tracks
- Fighting was mostly positional in the Avdiivka, Marinka, and Lyubymivka-Staromlynivka areas of operation (AO)
- Ukrainian forces make tactical gains west of Verbove, and the fighting has moved south of Robotyne
- In Tokmak, a command center for elements of the Russian 58th Combined Arms Army (CAA) was hit by at least rockets
- Drone video captured Russian soldiers dumping body bags in the forest outside of Tokmak
- There were widespread drone attacks on occupied Crimea that lasted for hours
- Ukrainian Special Operation Forces (SSO) neutralized an S-400 air defense system near Tarkhankut
- A single Shahed-136 kamikaze drone targeted the Danube River port of Izmail
- Partisans destroyed a cell tower in the Tver region of Russia
- In the Kaluga region, Russia claims it shot down a Ukrainian S-200 missile near the Shaykovka Military Airfield
- The Private Military Company (PMC) Wagner Group encampment at Tsel, Belarus is being disassembled
- The State Border Guard Service (SBGS) of Ukraine reports they have observed Wagner mercenaries leaving Belarus
- Russian state media is reporting that Russia never paid Belarus for the PMC Wagner Camps as previously agreed, with the Russian Ministry of Defense refusing to allocate the funds
- The prime minister of Poland and the president of Lithuania declared that the death of Yevgeny Prigozhin has not made the region safer
- Ukraine intercepted two guided missiles and two cruise missiles
- An anonymous source claims that Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Valerii Zaluzhnyi stated that his forces are on the “cusp of a breakthrough”
- The Biden Administration announced the United States is joining the fighter jet coalition and will train Ukrainian pilots to fly the F-16
- Norway has agreed to provide a to-be-determined number of F-16s fighter planes to Ukraine
- Norway, Germany, Lithuania, and the Baykar Makina company announced new military aid packages for Ukraine
- Russian state media agency Izvestia claims that “serious personnel changes" are coming to the Ministry of Defense of Russia
- Everyone has a theory about how the Legacy 600 private jet Yevgeny Prigozhin and two of his closest lieutenants crashed
- Igor Streklov Girkin released a statement through his lawyer about the death of Prigozhin
- Belarusian self-declared president Alexander Lukashenko became defensive as people questioned the value of his security guarantees
- The PMC Wagner Group Council of Commanders has not released any formal statement about the death of Prigozhin
- The Russian Volunteer Corps (RDC) called on Wagnerites who have not committed war crimes in Ukraine to join their ranks in the fight against Russia to avoid “service of the murderers of your commanders”
- Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov demonstrated his lack of diplomacy skills when a reporter at the BRICS Summit confronted him
- The Russian Embassy threatened Bosnia and Herzegovina after the Balkans nation declared its support of Ukrainian territorial integrity
- The Russian civil aviation manufacturing industry is on life support
- The airline Emirates threatened to stop all flights to Russia if Moscow doesn’t stop drone attacks by September
- The price of cars in Russia is increasing due to the lack of car transporters and increasing shipping costs
- The Russian economy is flooded with rupees with no way to convert them to a different currency
- Representatives from South Africa, India, and Russia dismissed claims that the BRICS nations will be launching a currency similar to the euro
- The price of gasoline reached an all-time high in Russia
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Comments
Is the Chonhar bridge reopened for military supplies? I thought I saw it mentioned as reopened in a site rep recently. But I heard a commentator say that Russia was still using a pontoon bridge at this crossing as the main bridge was not repaired.
AnaR737
A couple of days ago someone was inquiring about what Russian analysts make of recent events. Here is a comprehensive interview with pro-Russian analyst Mark Sleboda covering the Prigozhin demise, the Black Sea situation, the counteroffensive and the future of the war. His prediction is that the counteroffensive will not reach Tokmak. We shall see. He also acknowledges that Russia is "not winning" in the Black Sea and that even if the counteroffensive culminates without major gains the was is going to drag on. Both him and Berletic appear much more nuanced than I have seen them in the past. I have developed immunity over the past 18 months but for some people this guy's persona can induce digestive symptoms. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rpOL7SK1RCw
