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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 14 AUG 2023 23:55 - Can Ukraine Turn Operational Success into Tactical Gains?
🕑 Added 2023-08-15 08:00:02 +0000 UTCAre you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced.
This is Report 466, which is 50 pages, combat only.
What's the big story? Ukrainian forces are making steady gains as Russian spoiling attacks start to culminate, and in Avdiivka and Marinka, Russian combat potential is reaching its exhaustion point. What changed? Special assessment in the Theaterwide section.
What's the second story? Russian cruise missiles struck multiple cities in western Ukraine.
Summary
- The Russia-Ukraine War Map was audited, and the line of conflict was adjusted theaterwide
- The table of heavy equipment losses using information from the Oryx Database was updated on August 14, 2023
- We have red-listed Rybar as a source of information due to three months of consistent disinformation in their reports
- Ukrainian forces have stabilized the Dvorichna and Kupyansk areas of operation (AO)
- Intense positional fighting continues near Dibrova and in the Serebryanskyy Woods
- A Russian company was combat destroyed in a failed attempt to recapture Andriivka in the Klishchiivka AO
- Clearing operations continued in southern Urozhaine
- A Russian command and control base in Yurivka was hit by at least one Storm Shadow cruise missile, with significant Russian casualites reported
- Fighting in the Hulyaipole AO was reported near Dorozhnyanka
- Multiple Russian sources reported that Ukrainian troops are in Robotyne where fighting continues
- Ukrainian forces continue to make progress near Kopani
- A sea mine exploded in the resort town of Costinesti, Romania
- Russia has established five checkpoints on the Crimea Land Bridge route to Russia to alleviate traffic jams
- Residents of occupied Crimea were warned that ongoing gasoline shortages would get worse
- Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine, Hanna Maliar, released another cryptic statement about activity on the left (east) bank of the Dnipro River
- Russian S-300 antiaircraft missiles used for a ground attack struck Dnipro
- Russian cruise missiles targeted Starokostyantynov military airfield in Khmelnytskyi
- Russian cruise missiles were intercepted over Lviv, with debris landing in several neighborhoods and one missile striking near a kindergarten wounding four
- Russian cruise missiles hit the city of Lutsk in Volyn, killing at least three people
- The Cherkasy region was hit by multiple Russian cruise missiles, striking a factory, civilian infrastructure, and a medical facility
- Poland arrested two Russians, accusing them of espionage
- A person reported there was an antipersonnel mine near the Russian Ministry of Defense headquarters in Moscow
- Partisans sabotaged railroad infrastructure in Chelyabinsk
- In occupied Dagestan, a gas station and fuel storage tanks exploded in Makhachkala, killing at least 26 and wounding 75
- We explain why the Ukrainian summer offensive is starting to move forward again in a special assessement
- Norway is providing Ukraine with a military aid package for anti-drone systems worth $74 million
- The United States announced another $200 million military aid package
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Comments
Unfortunately, the Russian military is also learning and adapting to some extent. That’s part of why this Ukrainian counteroffensive is taking time. Underestimating the other side, including their ability to adapt, is very dangerous. I hope that the Ukrainians can always stay a step - or more - ahead.
The goal is turning tactical successes into operational gains into achieving strategic objectives.
