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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 04 DEC 2023 23:59* PST - ...But We Didn't Think This Fast
🕑 Added 2023-12-05 12:13:32 +0000 UTCAre you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced. To access the link, you may need to expand the entire article by clicking Show More because of a UI change made by Patreon, of which we have no control.
SITREP 550 is 62 pages and is a full report.
Editor's Note: The truth matters. You've depended on us to deliver the truth - some of you since 2016. Sometimes, the truth is brutal. Today's report is difficult, so brace yourselves.
What's Happening
What's the big story? Russia made tactically significant gains in several areas of operation.
What's the second story? Multiple leaders are warning that if Ukraine doesn't get more military and economic aid by December 31, the economy and war effort could collapse.
Summary
- There are map changes
- There are updates to the Rumors section
- Russian forces made tactically significant gains in several AOs during the last 24 hours
- Cold weather and periods of snow will continue across most of Ukraine for the rest of the week
- In the Kupyansk AO, fighting continued near Synkivka and Petropavlivka
- Russian Shahed-136 one-way drones struck Chuhuiv and Borova
- In the Kreminna AO, fighting continued near Terny, Yampolivka, and Dibrova
- In occupied Luhansk, a Ukrainian drone struck a fuel terminal, destroying at least one storage tank
- In the Bakhmut AO, Russian forces made significant tactical gains through Khromove and in the direction of Ivanivske
- Russian forces are setting conditions to attack in the direction of Chasiv Yar
- Ukrainian forces were temporarily pushed out of the 215-meter heights over Klischchiivka
- Fighting continued in the rest of the Klishchiivka AO
- Ukraine ended its spoiling attacks on the northwestern edge of Horlivka
- Fighting continued east of Novobakhmutivka
- In the Avdiivka AO, Russian forces made tactically significant gains at Stepove, taking partial control of the village
- Russian forces made tactical gains southwest, south, and southeast of Avdiivka Coke Plant terrikon
- Fighting continued on the south flank of Avdiivka, including the industrial district
- Ukrainian forces have stabilized defense lines in western and northwestern Marinka
- Fighting continued near Novomykhailivka
- In the Orikhiv AO, fighting continued near Verbove and west and south of Robotyne
- Ukrainian forces attacked Nesteryanka
- Ukrainian forces captured a soldier of the Russian Federation from Nepal who can’t speak Russian
- The city of Kherson was hit by at least two ballistic missiles, sparking a very large fire
- Fighting continued in and south of Krynky, with Russian milbloggers losing confidence that Russia can collapse the bridgehead
- Video from November 10 showed the results of a strike on a Russian convoy in occupied Kherson
- Ukraine attacked Crimea with up to 40 drones, but there were no reported hits
- In Novosibirsk, Russia, someone attempted to blow up the commissariat office using an IED
- Ukraine shot down one missile and six Shahed-136 one-way drones
- Ukrainian officials assess that Russia isn’t just stockpiling missiles for future attacks on Ukraine but rebuilding its strategic reserve for other wars
- In November, Russia gained 4 square kilometers of territory
- Ukraine is facing a future demographic crisis due to the loss of 4.4 million people and the plummeting birthrate
- Ukraine was forced to cut its 2024 defense budget by 20%
- The Washington Post wrote an analysis of what went wrong during the Ukrainian summer offensive
- Wife of spy chief Kyrylo Budanov, Marianna Budanova is still recovering from being poisoned
- Ukraine is producing six Bohdan 155 mm SPGs a month
- The U.K. has provided Ukraine with Martlet-guided missiles for air defense
- German arms maker Rheinmetall accepted an order to produce ammunition for Ukraine, with a delivery date in 2025
- The Czech Republic indicated it had exhausted its reserve equipment and ammunition but could accept orders for new equipment in the future
- The President of Bulgaria blocked the transfer of 100 Soviet-era BTR-60 APCs
- The leader of the Netherlands Freedom Party, Geert Wilders, confirmed that he will not support future military aid to Ukraine
- Multiple United States leaders indicated that Ukraine is facing a catastrophe without an aid package passed before December 31
- Negotiations in the Senate to provide an aid package to Ukraine, Israel, Palestinians, Taiwan, and U.S. border security collapsed
- President Zelenskyy was invited to address the U.S. Senate in a closed session to explain “what exactly is at stake”
- The British Ministry of Foreign Affairs is appealing to the United States to continue aid
- The Russian Ministry of Defense wants to change the “health standards” for conscripts, mobiks, and contract soldiers
- Associate of Igor Stelkov Girkin, retired GRU Colonel Vladimir Kvachkov is facing new charges of discrediting the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation
- In occupied Kherson, A Russian sergeant committed an act of fratricide
- Video captured the moment a Russian mortar stuck a Kherson bus stop, killing one and wounding seven
- Russian forces shelled a Kherson kindergarten, wounding one
- It is reported that Russia and Ukraine may exchange hundreds of soldiers before the end of the year
- A family with children was repatriated from the occupied territories
- E.U. leaders are poised to open negotiations with Ukraine and Moldova for membership
- Prime Minister of Hungary, Viktor Orban, is attempting to block Ukraine from joining the E.U.
- Prime Minister of Poland, Mateusz Morawiecki, admitted that he was backing the trucker blockade of the Ukrainian border
- President of Brazil Lula da Silva said he would invite Putin to the G20 Summit later this year, but the Russian leader could face arrest
- Lieutenant General Juergen-Joachim von Sandrart, NATO Multinational Corps Northeast Commander, warned that Russia was rebuilding all its combat capabilities and is becoming a growing threat to the Baltic region
Where's the damn podcast?
That is 100% on me. I am steadfast in no more work after 01:00 hours local time, and yesterday's SITREP wasn't complete until shortly after 01:00 hours. That means no one to sign off on the script. Working on a solution. The challenge is as more and more OSINT accounts give up, get deleted by social media, or are canceled for the right or wrong reasons, the intelligence gathering for us keeps getting longer and longer. Israel-Hamas has not been an issue for the last week due to the cease-fire.
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Comments
Motonokea
Does the weather help or hurt Ukraine’s military defensive potential? Are we expecting a slow down in fighting over winter?
Are we looking at what might be called a Russian Decemberist offensive?
