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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 17 JAN 2024 23:59* PST - If the USA Figures Out Aid to Ukraine, Russia Will Have Big Problems
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SITREP 583 is 63 pages and a full report.
What's Happening
What's the big story? Slovakia does a 180 on military aid to Ukraine because of money, Poland is ready to send more military aid, and Hungary is poised to unblock 50 billion euros in aid.
What's the second story? Russian and Ukrainian forces both made marginal gains in different operational areas.
Summary
- There are map updates
- There are assessment updates
- There are rumor updates
- Fighting continued in the Kupyansk AO
- Fighting continued in the Kreminna AO
- Ukrainian forces made marginal gains east of Terny
- Fighting continued in the Lysychansk AO
- Russian forces made marginal gains southeast of Bilohorivka [Luhansk]
- Fighting continued in the Siversk AO
- Fighting continued in the Bakhmut AO
- Fighting continued in the Klishchiivka AO
- Ukrainian forces made marginal gains east of Andriivka
- Fighting restated in the Toretsk-Niu York AO
- Fighting continued in the Avdiivka AO
- Fighting continued in the Marinka AO
- Fighting continued in the Vuhledar AO
- Russian forces made gains southwest of Novomykhailivka and west of Solodke
- Fighting restarted in the Staromlynivka AO
- There was only light fighting in the Orikhiv AO
- Fighting continued in the Kherson AO
- Claims that Russia restored control of Krynky are false
- Russian forces took extreme measures on the islands in the Dnipro River
- Russia shelled the city of Kherson and Beryslav
- Missile carriers of the Black Sea Fleet are on patrol
- Russian officials claim there were attacks on the Chongar Bridge
- A Russian P-800 Oniks antiship missile struck near cattle barns in the Odesa region
- Ukrainian drones attacked Russian combat engineers in the Belgorod region of Russia
- Russia claimed they shot down Tockha-U SRBMs near Bryansk, Russia, which is basically impossible as Ukraine has none left
- A Russian Mi-8 helicopter crashed in the Bryansk region of Russia, knocking out power to tens of thousands
- In Rostov, Russia, the Shakhty Polyester Plant violently exploded
- Ukrainian drones were shot down over St. Petersburg and Moscow
- Partisans destroyed Russian railroad infrastructure in multiple regions
- Ukraine’s air defense intercepted 22 or 33 Shahed-136 one-way drones and disabled others with electronic warfare
- Ukraine’s air defense intercepted a Kh-59 missile
- Ukraine used its “FrankenSAM” system for the first time
- Ukrainian EOD neutralized the warheads of two Kh-47 Kinzhal missiles
- The GUR reported that Russia has improved its Kh-101 cruise missiles
- Chinese state media praised the United States Patriot air defense system and criticized the capabilities of the Kh-47 Kinzhal
- Iran claimed they are not providing weapons to Russia
- Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chair of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, vowed Moscow would be in a forever war
- Free flow of commerce has been established at all Polish-Ukraine border crossing
- Ukraine demonstrated a new turbine-powered one-way drone
- The first official meeting of the NATO-Ukraine Council took place
- The Parliament of Slovkia cleared the sale of weapons and ammunition to Ukraine
- You read that right
- Hungary appears poised to stop blocking 50 billion euros of military aid to Ukraine
- Germany announced a new military aid package and new commitments
- Sweden declared it has not ruled out providing Ukraine with fighter planes
- Poland declared it was prepared to provide more military aid for Ukraine but called on the E.U. to provide more support
- Germany voted not to provide Taurus cruise missiles to Ukraine, but it was only symbolic
- The United States is 48 hours away from a government shutdown
- Speaker of the House Mike Johnson is under massive pressure from different factions within the Republican Party
- A verdict in the trial of Igor “Girkin” Strelkov is expected on January 19
- Mass protests continued in Bashkortostan, with dozens facing arrest
- The Head of the Republic of Bashkortostan for Social Communications was arrested for fraud
- Archimandrite Kirill of the Russian Orthodox Church was defrocked
- Russian journalist Maria Baronova was administratively convicted of violating Russia’s don’t say war laws
- A criminal investigation has been opened against the president of the Interregional Uzbek Community, Usman Baratov, for violationg Russia’s don’t say war laws
- Tajikistan blogger Salmon Dzhumaboya may be sent to pre-trial detention after a Moscow court declared him a flight risk
- Radio Svoboda journalist Dmytro Yevchyn was critically wounded
- Two more Azovstal defenders were convicted on sham charges in a Donetsk People’s Republic kangaroo court
- Romanian farmers continue to block two border crossings with Ukraine
- At the World Economic Forum in Davos, Ukrainian officials denied that the Chinese delegation snubbed President Zelenskyy
- Russia fined AWS 200 million roubles for conducting business without a registered agent
- In 2023, the Russian oil industry provided no benefit to GDP growth
- Turkish and Chinese banks are increasingly refusing to work with Russian financial institutions
The podcast for January 17, 2024, is live.
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Comments
100%. The Slovakia situation just came down to economics. If the U.S. Congress doesn't get its act together, military contractors are going to start having a harder time selling systems that have a high rate of consumables. Air defense systems are great but if the U.S. suddenly decides not to sell interceptors...just ask Switzerland what happened to their defense business in the last 22 months.
AnaR737
It looks like the Europeans thought for five minutes what things would look like if Ukraine lacked military support and they decided they did not like it They are going through some bureaucratic pains but it does look like they are on the way to getting their act together.
