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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 06 FEB 2024 23:59* PST - 46 Missiles, 20 Drones
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SITREP 596 is 58 pages long and combat only due to analysis of the situation in Avdiivka and the missile and drone attack on Ukraine.
What's Happening
What's the big story? We go old-school SITREP, diving deep with exclusive geolocation and analysis of a video from February 5 that has us feeling slightly better about the situation in Avdiivka. If you watch the evacuation video, have a tissue.
What's the second story? Russia kills and wounds dozens across Ukraine in latest missile attack while sending Polish F-16s scrambling.
What's the bonus story? Russian milbloggers doom about the situation in Kherson.
Summary
- There are minor map updates
- There are updates to our assessments
- Russian missile and drone strikes killed at least five and wounded 22
- There was another increase in combat clashes
- Fighting continued in the Kupyansk AO
- Five S-300 antiaircraft missiles launched from Belgorod struck Kharkiv, wounding one
- The February 5-6 SRBM attack on Zolochiv killed a two-month-old baby
- Fighting continued in the Kreminna AO
- Fighting continued in the Lysychansk AO
- Ukrainian forces made marginal gains north of Bilohorivka [Luhansk]
- Fighting continued in the Bakhmut AO
- Fighting continued in the Klishchiivka AO
- Intense fighting continued in the Avdiivka AO
- Ukrainian forces appear to have partially stabilized their defense lines on February 5-6
- Dutch volunteers rescued two women, their pets, and a stray dog from Avdiivka, and the video provided insight into the overall situation on the north flank
- Fighting continued on the southern edge of Avdiivka
- Fighting restarted in the no man’s land between Tonenke, Sieverne, and Vodyane
- A Russian air defense battery was likely destroyed in occupied Kremenivka, near Mariupol
- Occupied Donetsk has another worker shortage - teachers
- Fighting continued in the Marinka AO
- Fighting continued in the Vuhledar AO
- Fighting continued in the Staromlynivka AO
- Light fighting continued in the Orikhiv AO
- Director General of the IAEA Rafael Grossi held meetings in Kyiv
- Grossi contradicted his report from February 1 on the staffing situation at ZNPP, appearing to count job applications under Russian consideration as existing employees
- The Minister of Energy of Ukraine warned that the ZNPP fuel rods need to be replaced
- It’s time we talk about the IAEA and its bothsideism
- Fighting continued in the Kherson AO
- Ukrainian forces made additional advances in Krynky
- Russia bombed civilians waiting in line in Beryslav
- A civilian was killed in the village of Tokarivka
- The SSO of Ukraine conducted Operation Citiadel, destroying a Russian radar station and drone launch point near occupied Crimea
- Russian drone strikes on Mykolaiv killed at least one person
- Russian missile strikes on Kyiv killed at least five and wounded 21
- Russian artillery strikes destroyed farm buildings and equipment near Novhorod-Sivers'kyi in the Chernihiv Oblast
- Ukrainian drones destroyed an electrical substation in the Belgorod region of Russia
- The Polish Air Force scrambled three F-16 fighter planes in response to Russian cruise missiles flying on a threatening trajectory near Lviv
- Forty-six missiles and 20 Shahed-136 one-way drones attacked Ukraine, with 26 missiles and 15 drones intercepted
- The Kremlin has added pressure on the Russian Ministry of Defense to capture Avdiivka within the next two weeks
- A drone recorded a ground drone dragging back a Russian UAV that had been taken down by electronic warfare
- President Zelenskyy has created a new branch of the Armed Forces of Ukraine – the Unmanned Systems Forces
- General Zaluzhnyi amended the rules for journalist accreditation
- The Turkish company Baykar officially broke ground on its production facility in Ukraine
- Ecuador is transferring six OSA-AKM short-range air defense systems to the United States
- U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan is meeting with NATO officials
- The U.S. Congress is a total hot mess
The podcast for February 6, 2024, is live.
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Comments
The only positive I can take away from congress being inept right now is it is forcing Europe to face the stark reality that they must rapidly expand and rearm their militaries. But the negative is I’m pretty certain this war is going to expand to more countries because Russia will never stop until they are broken, either externally or internally. For Russia only total victory or total defeat will end this war. There is no middle ground for them, no compromise that will satisfy Putin.
