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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 11 FEB 2024 23:59* PST - Avdiivka Holds, But For How Long
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SITREP 599 is 82 pages long and a full report.
What's Happening
Here are the top five stories in today's supersized report.
1. Russian forces make a major advance toward Chasiv Yar.
2. Avdiivka holds, but for how long?
3. Russian troops appear to be using many Starlink Internet terminals despite denials by Elon Musk.
4. Former United States President Donald Trump sent Europe into a tailspin after a campaign speech.
5. The shakeup within the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine continues.
Summary
- There are map updates
- There are assessment updates
- There are rumor updates
- The table of Russian versus Ukrainian heavy equipment losses based on information from the Oryx Database has been updated through February 11, 2024
- Fighting continued in the Kupyansk AO
- A Russian drone strike on Khakriv caused a pipeline to burst, killing seven in their homes
- Russian missiles hit Lyubotyn, west of Kharkiv
- The Russian VKS attacked Izyum
- Light fighting was reported in the Kreminna AO
- Fighting continued in the Lysychansk AO
- Russian forces advanced to the eastern edge of Bilohorivka [Luhansk]
- In occupied Luhansk, a Russian air defense radar and Buk-3 was destroyed
- Fighting continued in the Bakhmut AO
- Russian forces made a tactical significant advance west of Bohdanivka and are 3 kilometers from Chasiv Yar
- Fighting continued in the Klishchiivka AO
- Intense fighting continued in the Avdiivka AO, where the situation continued to deteriorate
- Ukrainian forces are complaining their secondary defensive lines are inadequate
- Russian forces crossed the train tracks south of the Avdiivka Coke Plant and reached the swimming beach on the western edge of the sand quarry
- Fighting continued in the Vuhledar AO
- Russia built a 30-kilometer-long defensive line from Olenivka to Volnovakha using railroad cars
- Light fighting continued in the Staromlynivka AO
- Light fighting continued in the Orikhiv AO
- Ukrainian rockets struck a Russian base in occupied Tokmak
- A Ukrainian collaborator was killed in occupied Berdyansk
- Fighting continued in the Kherson AO
- Over the weekend, 18 Iranian-sourced Shahed-136 drones attacked the city of Mykolaiv
- Odesa and the Danube River ports were attacked by two waves of Shahed-136 UAVs, wounding four
- Russian missiles and drones targeted Ukrainian energy infrastructure in Pavlohrad, knocking out powers to tens-of-thousands
- Shahed-136 UAVs were shot down in Cherkasy and Zhytomyr
- Debris from a Russian drone landed on a commercial enterprise in Kyiv, sparking a fire
- Turkish Air Force F-16s stationed in Romania scrambled due to Russian drone strikes along the Danube River
- Romania issued an air raid alert to two districts and condemned the drone strikes on Ukraine
- Debris from a Shahed-136 UAV was found in Etulia, Moldova, drawing a rebuke and warning from President Maia Sandu
- Over the weekend, Russia launched almost 100 Shahed-136 one-way drones into Ukraine, with air defense downing 83%
- Ukrainian air defenses have been forced to conserve air defense missiles
- Ukrainian President Zelenskyy named multiple new commanders for the Armed Forces as the military leadership shake-up continues
- GUR head Kyrylo Budanov was given the title of Hero of Ukraine with Golden Star
- The National Police of Ukraine disbanded the special purpose regiment of the GUNP in the Dnipropetrovsk region for insubordination and integrated into the Lyut assault brigade
- The Ternopil TCC denied that a mobilized man was killed in combat nine days after reporting to duty
- French President Macron canceled a trip to Kyiv indefinitely, citing the “security situation”
- January financial aid to Ukraine was down 90% compared to a year ago
- France committed to providing Ukraine with 40 SCALP air-to-surface cruise missiles
- A Russian Ka-52 helicopter was shot down
- A Russian contract soldier from Sierra Leone was captured
- A Nepali contract soldier paid a $2,000 bribe to leave the Russian armed forces
- Nepal reported that the number of their citizens fighting for Russia in Ukraine could be as high as 15,000 people
- Syrians are reportedly being flown to Russia, given immediate citizenship, and then sent directly to Ukraine
- Ukrainian soldiers clearing captured Russian positions found IDs from Kyrgyzstan among the dead
- 21 members of the Russian 155th Naval Infantry, which was once an elite unit, claimed that unit members were shot by blocking troops led by their political officer
- The six crew members of the Russian Il-76 shot down on January 24 were given a state funeral
- Russia has yet to identify the three guards allegedly on the plane, and they were not given similar honors
- North Korea is supplying Russia with 240 mm rockets for the Cheburashka MLRS
- Italian arms maker Beretta is dodging sanctions and supplying Russia with ammunition and weapons
- Russia and Ukraine reported that Russian troops are using SpaceX Starlink terminals, and it has become systemic
- SpaceX CEO Elon Musk denied the claims
- Multiple Russian milblogger mocked Musk after denying Russian troops had Starlink terminals
- Ukraine released a video of a drone-delivered IED destroying a Russian position equipped with a Starlink terminal
- Three Moldovan aircraft companies allegedly sold $15 million in parts to Russia in 2022
- Retired Russian General Yuri Baluyevsky said that Russian weapons were ineffective against their Western peers despite a decade of investment
- Video showed two Storm Shadow cruise missiles flying over a Russian S-400 battery after they failed to shoot them down
- A Russian S-350 air defense system ran over a Russian antitank mine
- Russian milblogger Two Majors complained about the lack of effective antidrone electronic warfare systems
- Russian commander Alexander Khodakovsky complained that corruption and “monopolists” were harming Russian drone production
- Russian propagandist Roman Saponkov also complained about corruption derailing innovation
- A Russian soldier field tested a new state-of-the-art antidrone weapon – a water bottle
- Moscow summoned the chargés d'affaires from Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia to issue a warning
- Norway refused to give former PMC Wagner mercenary Andrey Medvedev political asylum
- YouTube blocked 40 Russian state media channels
- Crackdowns continued in the Republic of Bashkortostan weeks after area protests in support of imprisoned activist Fail Alsynov
- Almost 3,000 residents of Bashkortostan demanded an investigation into the death of Rifat Dautov
- Kremlin spokesperson Peskov said that Russia was not planning to ban VPNs on March 1
- In 2023, Russia received a record number of complaints about problems with community housing
- The State Duma is considering a draft law that punishes citizens who excessively complain about problems with community housing
- The Russian cosmetics company Letual is covering up the rainbow hair on its unicorn logo with magic marker
- Russian journalist Maria Baronova was fined 70,000 roubles for a one-person protest in Moscow
- Russian Colonel Viktor Alksnis made the most direct statement of any Russian official about Moscow’s slide into fascism, but there’s a twist
- Human Rights Watch said that President Putin should face additional war crimes charges stemming from the 2022 siege of Mariupol
- A 71-year-old Ukrainian died in a Russian pre-trial detention center while waiting for a court hearing on espionage charges
- The International Criminal Court denied to hold special tribunals for Russian war crimes
- Another 34 Ukrainian soldiers who surrendered in Mariupol were sentenced to decades in a strict regime prison colony by illegitimate Russian courts
- Less than a week after the ICC refused to find Russia guilty of committing genocide on Crimean Tatars due to a lack of evidence, Russia declared the Crimean Tatar Resource Center “undesirable”
- Activists warned that Russia is eliminating the Crimean Tatar language after banning all classes in 2023
- The Parliamentary Assembly of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe was in Kyiv to discuss setting up a special international tribunal for the Russian crimes of aggression
- Ukraine’s request to Russia to return the remains of 65 POWs allegedly killed on January 24 when an Il-76 was shot down was, again, denied
- Over the last week, three hospitals and one ambulance were attacked by Russian forces, wounding five and forcing the evacuation of 38 patients
- Since February 24, 2022, Russian forces have destroyed or damaged more an 500 religious buildings in Ukriane
- Five more Ukrainian children were repatriated from the occupied territories
- German Chancellor Scholz called out Tucker Carlson for spreading Russian lies about World War II history
- The Foreign Minister of Poland warned that with out additional support, Putin can “raze Ukraine to the ground”
- Former U.S. President Trump sent shockwaves across Europe, saying he wouldn’t honor Article V and telling Putin he could do whatever he wanted in a hypothetical attack on NATO
- The White House and the E.U. condemned Trump’s speech
- Estonia said it would continue to build defenses along its border with Russia
- The Minister of European and Foreign Affairs of France warned that Russia could attack NATO in the future
- The Minister of Defense of the Netherlands called for more financial and military aid for Ukraine, adding that Europe is not immune to “full-scale war”
- NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg warned NATO will be preparing for a “hot war” with Russia for decades, and the risk of war is very high
- Ex-prime minister candidate from the center-right National Coalition Party Alexander Stubb became the new president of Finland
- Finland will keep its border closed with Russia through April 14
- Lithuania is closing two more border crossings with Belarus for national security reasons
- Putin delayed his February visit to Türkiye allegedly to March, with Turkish media claiming it was delayed until May
- Russia reportedly unfroze $9 in North Korean assets and gave them indirect banking access in exchange for weapons
- Prime Minister of Hungary Orban said that Russia will never accept Ukraine in the EU or NATO
- Polish farmers are aggressively blocking border crossings with Ukraine, dumping grain out of trucks, and building blockades
- Ukraine’s sea exports have reached pre-war levels
- DNR officials reported it is unprofitable to keep mining coal from the Donbas
- India sent its first batch of bananas to Russia after Moscow stopped shipments from five Ecuadorian farms
- In January, Russian oil exports plummeted due to Ukrainian attacks, OPEC+ cuts, and tightening sanctions
- Russia's businesses are short five million workers, and it is only getting worse
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Comments
AnaR737
I know. Now he even gets Trump to spout his talking points. We live in strange times. My head is still getting around what Trump said. I don't follow Trump at all but this one made me to a triple take. It seemed too much even for him. So he must have gotten many clicks and he must be thinking he is sooo yugely cool.
You are correct on the date; it should be 2014. There will be errors and omissions in today's report. Thank you for defending the truth. MY OPINION: I am very shocked to see what I feel are rational European forces starting to whisper it is time to expand, restart, or start nuclear weapons programs as they no longer believe they are under the US umbrella.
Putin must be extremely pleased with the results of his investment in the US Republican Party.
AR
Thanks MC for the report, There is likely a typo on page 65, second to last paragraph. Demchenko is reported to have lived in Donetsk since 2024 to April 2023. Think this should be 2014? Trump is an absolute lunatic. Lord help us all if that psychopath gets into power again. How is this guy allowed to have a second presidential campaign? I hope for the sake of my neighbours to the south that democracy doesn’t fail them completely. Europe is right to prepare themselves to be on their own and for war. Unfortunately for the world, a handful of people in the US have managed to knock the nation completely off the pedestal of leaders/protectors of the free world. To top it all off Trump is pouring gasoline on that pedestal and lighting the match…..
