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January 2022 Research Update

🕑 Added 2022-02-01 16:02:31 +0000 UTC

Comments

Adam

Per the most recent post, I would definitely support an article on the basics of deterrence and other common IR terminology and methodology post.

Adam

I would just want to add in a bit of supporting evidence that the siege of Barad-Dur is a fairly loose one. Quoting from "Of the Rings of Power and the Third Age" Then Gil-galad and Elendil passed into Mordor and encompassed the stronghold of Sauron: and they laid siege to it for seven years, and suffered grievous loss by fire and by the darts and bolts of the Enemy, and Sauron sent many sorties against them. There in the valley of Gorgoroth Anarion son of Elendil was slain, and many others. But at last the siege was so strait that Sauron himself came forth; and he wrestled with Gil-galad and Elendil, and they both were slain, and the sword of Elendil broke under him as he fell. We know from elsewhere (like Elrond's account in the core trilogy) that the final struggle where Sauron was brought down was on the slopes of Mt. Doom. The map on my copy of Return of the King isn't great, but eyeballing it it looks about 50 miles in a straight line between Barad-Dur and Mt Doom. Possibly longer to march if armies are maneuvering around each other and given how nasty the terrain in Gorgoroth can be. It's kind of hard to explain how a tight siege could let a sortie go that far. This is almost certainly a several day march, possibly even one of weeks if forces in contact with each other are moving slowly to avoid blundering into any enemy formations. It does raise a few interesting (to me anyway) operational questions as to what Sauron was trying to do here. If he simply wanted to escape, you'd think he'd head east, not southwest. Were there forces in southern Mordor he was trying to link up with? Or was it simply that he had no weapons to fall back on other than the power of the Ring itself and wanted to head to a location of its maximum power?


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