NBADynastyADP
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ALL ACCESS - 2024 NBA Draft Big Board (February Update)
🕑 Added 2024-02-17 14:22:44 +0000 UTCBack again with another NBA Draft Big Board.
Like prior versions, this board uses my battle-tested method for projecting fantasy stat sets (and overall NBA performance) for the consensus top prospects in the 2024 NBA Draft.
The points league Fantasy Point Projections are based on per-70 possession statistics - so they give you a level-playing field perspective on what kind of points league producers these prospects would play if they had the same playing time.
The category league stat set projections use per-70 possession stats and advanced metric thresholds that I've applied across over a decade of prospect evaluation.
REMEMBER: it matters where players are drafted, so while I like Reed Sheppard's fantasy stat set more than Nikola Topic, I far less confidence that the NBA will draft Reed at the top half of the lottery and - therefore, have less confidence that Reed will be a big minute starter in the NBA. BUT if Reed gets top 5 draft capital, he could move as high as #1 on my rookie draft ranks in June.
There's still a lot of basketball to be played. Looking forward to keep tracking these prospects and expanding my draft board out to 100+ prospects in the coming months.
If you have questions, post them in the comments below.
-Matt
Comments
Matt Lawson
No, we shouldn’t base prospect projections on single exhibition games and his G League performances have shown significant holes in his fantasy stat set and development as a prospect. I’m open to him making a big leap but we need to actually see it in a real sample size.
Ugur Uzun
Noice! Coming in clutch for the break. Did Matas' showing yesterday move him up your boards? It looked like he put himself on the map in the semifinal yesterday.
