Brett Kollmann
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How the Bucs beat the crap out of Aaron Rodgers (plus week 7 picks!)
🕑 Added 2020-10-25 12:35:44 +0000 UTCFirst things first! I (finally) launched this week's film room episode after a couple of major delays during production. Hurray for having an older, unreliable PC, I guess. Oh well, at least this is a good excuse to buy some parts as an early Christmas gift to myself and build a new one!
The good news is that I was still able to get this episode on the Buccaneers defense out "on time". The bad news is that I've been awake for roughly 22 hours straight now and I'm a wee bit delirious while I type this, so please forgive me for any typos in the DMs that I've been sending all of you this morning who are asking for fantasy advice.
Here are this week's picks against the spread as well. I apologize for not having time to do full writeups because I can feel myself about to pass out for a nap before kickoff as I sit in my desk chair, but rest assured that if any of you have any questions about why I picked certain teams or certain lines, I would be more than willing to answer in the comments below!
Thank you all again for your continued support. I hope you enjoy the show!
GAME PICK RECORD: 58-33-1
SPREAD PICK RECORD: 47-39-5 (51.6% win rate vs the spread so far. 55% is considered a top-tier hit rate, for reference)
GIANTS @ EAGLES
GAME PICK: EAGLES
SPREAD PICK (from Thursday): EAGLES (-4.5)
BILLS @ JETS
GAME PICK: BILLS
SPREAD PICK: JETS (+10.5)
PANTHERS @ SAINTS
GAME PICK: SAINTS
SPREAD PICK: PANTHERS (+6.5)
BROWNS @ BENGALS
GAME PICK: BROWNS
SPREAD PICK: BROWNS (-3.5)
COWBOYS @ WASHINGTON
GAME PICK: WASHINGTON
SPREAD PICK: WASHINGTON (-1)
PACKERS @ TEXANS
GAME PICK: PACKERS
SPREAD PICK: PACKERS (-3.5)
LIONS @ FALCONS
GAME PICK: FALCONS
SPREAD PICK: FALCONS (-1.5)
STEELERS @ TITANS
GAME PICK: STEELERS
SPREAD PICK: STEELERS (+1)
BUCCANEERS @ RAIDERS
GAME PICK: BUCCANEERS
SPREAD PICK: RAIDERS (+5)
CHIEFS @ BRONCOS
GAME PICK: CHIEFS
SPREAD PICK: CHIEFS (-7)
JAGUARS @ CHARGERS
GAME PICK: CHARGERS
SPREAD PICK: JAGUARS (+7.5)
49ERS @ PATRIOTS
GAME PICK: 49ERS
SPREAD PICK: 49ERS (+3)
SEAHAWKS @ CARDINALS
GAME PICK: SEAHAWKS
SPREAD PICK: CARDINALS (+3.5)
BEARS @ RAMS
GAME PICK: BEARS
SPREAD PICK: BEARS (+6)
Comments
Brett Kollmann
Honestly I still don't know why the spread was that big. I suppose Vegas just had less faith in Nick Foles than I did, and you know...I guess they were right. Foles was awful, and the Bears' chance of winning that game went down with him.
Don't let us down BRETT! :D
As a Bears fan, I remain skeptical of their ability to hang with the top tier teams. But I don't see the Rams as that, considering the Bears have limited Goff in their last two meetings, and the games have generally been dominated by defense and poor QB play. I agree with your Bears +6 pick, but I'm curious what you think are the reasons that the spread is so large in a fairly even matchup?
