Brett Kollmann
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Well that sucked...(plus Week 11 Game Picks!)
🕑 Added 2020-11-22 07:13:42 +0000 UTCWelp...while I was out in LA with my wife this evening doing some photoshoots for upcoming Film Room merch releases (more on that later), my car window got smashed in and the inside of our vehicle got torn apart. Thankfully the thieves were incompetent enough that they totally missed my iPhone sitting in the rear door so they didn't grab it -- but still, as you can imagine this turned into a very, very long night for me.
Unfortunately, because of this incident I did not have time to do full analysis write ups for every single Sunday Game before I crash tonight, BUT...I still do want to post my picks against the spread for the week.
If y'all have any questions at all on individual games, why I picked the way I did, or of course any fantasy questions for the week as well, feel free to ask! I'll be answering them in this thread straight up to the 1PM game start times. As usual, all lines used in these picks were from Bovada.
GAME PICK RECORD: 94-53-1
SPREAD PICK RECORD: 75-64-1 (54.0% win rate vs the spread so far. 55% is considered a top-tier hit rate, for reference)
CARDINALS @ SEAHAWKS
GAME PICK: SEAHAWKS
SPREAD PICK (from Thursday): SEAHAWKS (-3.5)
STEELERS @ JAGUARS
GAME PICK: STEELERS
SPREAD PICK: STEELERS (-10.5)
LIONS @ PANTHERS
GAME PICK: LIONS
SPREAD PICK: LIONS (-2.5)
PATRIOTS @ TEXANS
GAME PICK: PATRIOTS
SPREAD PICK: PATRIOTS (-2)
TITANS @ RAVENS
GAME PICK: RAVENS
SPREAD PICK: RAVENS (-6)
EAGLES @ BROWNS
GAME PICK: EAGLES
SPREAD PICK: EAGLES (+3)
FALCONS @ SAINTS
GAME PICK: SAINTS
SPREAD PICK: SAINTS (-3.5)
BENGALS @ WASHINGTON
GAME PICK: BENGALS
SPREAD PICK: BENGALS (+1)
JETS @ CHARGERS
GAME PICK: CHARGERS
SPREAD PICK: CHARGERS (-9.5)
DOLPHINS @ BRONCOS
GAME PICK: DOLPHINS
SPREAD PICK: DOLPHINS (-3.5)
COWBOYS @ VIKINGS
GAME PICK: VIKINGS
SPREAD PICK: VIKINGS (-7)
PACKERS @ COLTS
GAME PICK: COLTS
SPREAD PICK: COLTS (-1)
CHIEFS @ RAIDERS
GAME PICK: CHIEFS
SPREAD PICK: RAIDERS (+7.5)
RAMS @ BUCCANEERS
GAME PICK: BUCCANEERS
SPREAD PICK: BUCCANEERS (-4)
Comments
Brett Kollmann
I definitely see why you were nervous about Robinson, but man 4 yards per carry from him against that front seven is IMPRESSIVE. Going forward I would consider Robinson to be damn near matchup proof.
Brett Kollmann
At this point you should probably just play Gibson no matter what. He’s having a fantastic rookie year and he’s clearly a focal point in the red zone
Hey Brett, would you go Gio or Gibson in full ppr?
Sorry you guys went through that, Brett, that’s brutal. I’m in a .5 PPR, can’t decide between James Robinson, Todd Gurley, or Melvin Gordon. Right now have Robinson in there, but am worried that Steelers defense is going to eat them alive.
