Brett Kollmann
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Week 17 Patron-Only Q&A (plus game picks!)
🕑 Added 2021-01-03 16:23:59 +0000 UTCWe are finally here! It’s week 17 - the craziest week of the regular season - and a whopping 13 of the 14 playoff teams/seeds are still unknown! The majority of games this week mean something to the various playoff races, which is great for us as fans because that means we get more entertaining games!
With the closing of the regular season, the solidifying of the first 20 picks in the draft order, and next week’s playoff matches all being decided today, I figured now is another great time for a Patron-Only Q&A session!
I’ll be on here all day answering any questions that you guys drop into this thread. Feel free to ask me about anything you want - schemes, teams, players, fantasy, gambling, whatever, and I will answer! Oh, and by the way, here are my picks for all 17 games being played today!
GAME PICK RECORD: 157-83-0
SPREAD PICK RECORD: 128-106-6 (54.7% win rate vs the spread so far. 55% is considered a top-tier hit rate, for reference)
VIKINGS @ LIONS
GAME PICK: VIKINGS
SPREAD PICK: VIKINGS (-4)
FALCONS @ BUCCANEERS
GAME PICK: BUCCANEERS
SPREAD PICK: BUCCANEERS (-7)
JETS @ PATRIOTS
GAME PICK: PATRIOTS
SPREAD PICK: PATRIOTS (-3)
DOLPHINS @ BILLS
GAME PICK: BILLS
SPREAD PICK: BILLS (-1)
STEELERS @ BROWNS
GAME PICK: BROWNS
SPREAD PICK: STEELERS (+9.5)
COWBOYS @ GIANTS
GAME PICK: COWBOYS
SPREAD PICK: COWBOYS (-1.5)
RAVENS @ BENGALS
GAME PICK: RAVENS
SPREAD PICK: BENGALS (+14)
JAGUARS @ COLTS
GAME PICK: COLTS
SPREAD PICK: JAGUARS (+14.5)
TITANS @ TEXANS
GAME PICK: TITANS
SPREAD PICK: TITANS (-7)
CARDINALS @ RAMS
GAME PICK: CARDINALS
SPREAD PICK: CARDINALS (-2.5)
SAINTS @ PANTHERS
GAME PICK: PANTHERS
SPREAD PICK: PANTHERS (+6)
PACKERS @ BEARS
GAME PICK: PACKERS
SPREAD PICK: PACKERS (-4.5)
CHARGERS @ CHIEFS
GAME PICK: CHARGERS
SPREAD PICK: CHIEFS (+5.5)
SEAHAWKS @ 49ERS
GAME PICK: SEAHAWKS
SPREAD PICK: 49ERS (+7)
RAIDERS @ BRONCOS
GAME PICK: RAIDERS
SPREAD PICK: RAIDERS (-2.5)
WASHINGTON @ EAGLES
GAME PICK: EAGLES
SPREAD PICK: EAGLES (+4)
Comments
Brett Kollmann
Like for yardage averages?
Brett Kollmann
I think analytics and numbers are great for generating questions, and film is great for answering them. The numbers can show trends and patterns that make us ask...why is that happening? And in the film, we get enough context for those numbers to explain why those patterns are happening. Both things work in harmony together, and the best analysts I think are the ones who embrace both sides of the coin - the numbers that teach us how to ask the right questions, and the film that answers them.
Top 5-10 players to outperform or underperform their averages this weekend?
Hi, Brett! I'm, having a discussion with some friends. Tape and analytics are important, but do you think tape is more important than analytics and do you think this is the way most people who work in NFL teams think that way? That tape is priority and analytics is a complement? And if you could endulge me here, some weeks ago you said you thought Reich was the Eagles secret sauce. But that did you mean you think he was more responsible for the Eagles offensive success than Doug?
